GB/T 39844-2021Reliability growth - Statistical test and estimation methods (English PDF)
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Issued by
State Administration for Market Regulation, China National Standardization Administration
Level / Type
National · Recommended
Issue date
March 9, 2021
Implementation date
October 1, 2021
Scope
GB/T 39844-2021 (Reliability growth - Statistical test and estimation methods) is available as an English-translated PDF.
GB/T 39844-2021 — This standard provides models and numerical methods for reliability growth assessment based on failure data in reliability improvement work. These models And numerical methods involve growth, evaluation, product reliability confidence intervals, and product goodness-of-fit tests.
Document preview — GB/T 39844-2021
National Standard of the People's Republic of China
- Classification
- L 05
Issued by: State Administration for Market Regulation, China National Standardization Administration
Contents
- 1 Scope1
- 2 Normative references1
- 3 Terms and definitions1
- 4 Symbol2
- 5 Reliability growth model in design and test5
- 6 Reliability growth model for the system/product in the design phase6
- 6.1 Modified power law model of reliability growth plan in product design stage6
- 6.2 Modified Bayesian IBM-Rosner Model for Planning Reliability Growth in the Design Phase8
- 7 Reliability Growth Plan and Tracking in Product Reliability Growth Test9
- 7.1 Continuous reliability growth model9
- 7.2 Discrete reliability growth model11
- 8 Plan reliability growth test procedures with a power law model12
- 9 Statistical testing and estimation process of continuous power law model13
- 9.1 Overview13
- 9.2 Growth test and parameter estimation13
- 9.3 Goodness of fit test15
- 9.4 Confidence interval of shape parameter16
- 9.5 Confidence interval of current MTBF18
- 9.6 Forecasting methods19
- Appendix A (informative appendix) Examples of planning and analysis models in the design and test stages of product development22
- Appendix B (informative appendix) Power-law reliability growth model---background information32
- Reference35
Foreword
This standard was drafted in accordance with the rules given in GB/T 1.1-2009.
The translation method used in this standard is equivalent to the IEC 61164.2004 "Reliability Growth Statistical Test and Evaluation Method".
The Chinese documents that have a consistent correspondence relationship with the normatively cited international documents in this standard are as follows.
---GB/T 5080.4-1985 equipment reliability test reliability determination test point estimation and interval estimation method (index score
Cloth) (neq IEC 60605-4.1978)
---GB/T 5080.6-1996 equipment reliability test validity test of the assumption of constant failure rate (idtIEC 60605-6.
1989)
This standard was proposed by the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology of the People's Republic of China.
This standard is under the jurisdiction of the National Standardization Technical Committee on Reliability and Maintainability of Electrical and Electronic Products (SAC/TC24).
Drafting organizations of this standard. The Fifth Institute of Electronics, Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, Beijing Aeronautical Engineering Technology Research Center.
Introduction
This standard describes the power law reliability growth model and the corresponding deduction model, and gives the detailed steps of their application methods. in
Among the existing reliability growth models, the power law model is the most widely used. GB/T 15174-2017 Chapter 4, Chapter 6 and
Chapter 7 gives some numerical calculation procedures.
The model requires two forms of input.The first type of input is used for reliability growth planning through analysis and design improvement in the design phase.
Plan, that is, input the duration of the design phase, initial reliability, reliability target, planned design improvement and expected reliability level. First
The second type of input is used for reliability growth in the engineering development stage. Failure is the cumulative test when each associated failure of a system occurs or during observation.
In addition, if the test cut-off time is not the time of the last failure, it also includes the test cut-off time. In order to make the product early
The efficiency is stable, and it is assumed that the data collected as input to the model starts after all pre-tests such as environmental stress screening.
When the test conditions are similar, the parameters estimated with the previous test results can be used to predict or plan the reliability growth in the future.
Some calculation processes require computer programming, but it is not complicated. The algorithms in this standard can be easily programmed by computer.
achieve.
Reliability growth statistical test and evaluation method
1 Scope
This standard provides models and numerical methods for reliability growth assessment based on failure data in reliability improvement work. These models
And numerical methods involve growth, evaluation, product reliability confidence intervals, and product goodness-of-fit tests.
2 Normative references
The following documents are indispensable for the application of this document. For dated reference documents, only the dated version applies to this article
Pieces. For undated reference documents, the latest version (including all amendments) is applicable to this document.
GB/T 2900.13-2008 Electrical engineering terminology credibility and service quality [IEC 60050(191).1990,IDT]
GB/T 5080.1-2012 Reliability Test Part 1.Test Conditions and Principles of Statistical Inspection (IEC 60300-3-5.2001,
IDT)
GB/T 15174-2017 Reliability Growth Outline (IEC 61014.2003, IDT)
IEC 60605-4 Equipment Reliability Test Part 4.Point Estimation and Interval Estimation Method for Reliability Test under Exponential Distribution
(Equipmentreliabilitytesting-Part 4.Statisticalproceduresforexponentialdistribution-Pointesti-
mates,confidenceintervals,predictionintervalsandtoleranceintervals)
IEC 60605-6 Equipment Reliability Test Part 6.Validity Test of the Constant Failure Rate Hypothesis of Equipment Reliability Test
(Equipmentreliabilitytesting-Part 6.Testsforthevalidityoftheconstantfailurerateorconstant
failureintensityassumptions)
3 Terms and definitions
The following terms and definitions defined in GB/T 2900.13-2008 and GB/T 15174-2017 apply to this document.
3.1
Reliability goal
The expected reliability level of the product after the reliability increase program is over.
3.2
Initialreliability
The reliability level in the early stage of product design, that is, the reliability level before any potential failure modes and causes are designed and improved.
3.3
Reliabilitygrowthmodelforthedesignphase
According to potential design improvements, use mathematical language to describe the increase in reliability from the beginning of the design phase to the end of the design phase
Variety.
3.4
Average product failure rate
Calculated from the estimated reliability in a given time period.
Note. The modification of product design results in a change in the failure rate function with time as a variable.
......
This preview omits tables, figures, formulas and parts of the technical clauses. The complete document — all pages — is available in the English PDF.
Referenced standards
Normative references
GB/T 2900.13-2008 · IEC 60050 · GB/T 5080.1-2012 · IEC 60300 · GB/T 15174-2017 · IEC 61014.2003 · IEC 60605
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